| Sunday, September 5, 2010 |
| Registration 18:00 - 21:00 |
| Welcome Coctail (HOTEL RODOS PALACE): 19:00-20:30 |
| Monday, September 6, 2010 |
| Registration 8:00 - 9.00 |
| Opening and Plenary Session (ROOM DELPHI) 9:00-10:30 |
|
ROOM: DELPHI |
ROOM: NAFSIKA A |
ROOM: NAFSIKA B |
ROOM: NEFELI A |
ROOM: NEFELI B |
ROOM: EXECUTIVE A |
| 10:50-12:00 |
Risk and hazard analysis |
System reliability analysis |
Maintenance modelling and optimisation |
Occupational safety |
Bayesian methods |
|
| 14:00-15:30 |
Risk and hazard analysis |
System reliability analysis |
Maintenance modelling and optimisation |
Decision support systems and software tools for safety and reliability |
Offshore Oil and Gas |
|
| 16:00-17:30 |
Risk and hazard analysis |
System reliability analysis |
Maintenance modelling and optimisation |
Decision support systems and software tools for safety and reliability |
Accident and incident investigation |
|
| 18.00 ESRA GENERAL ASSEMBLY (ROOM: NAFSIKA A) |
| Tuesday, September 7, 2010 |
|
ROOM: DELPHI |
ROOM: NAFSIKA A |
ROOM: NAFSIKA B |
ROOM: NEFELI A |
ROOM: NEFELI B |
ROOM: EXECUTIVE A |
| 8:30-10:00 |
Risk and hazard analysis |
System reliability analysis |
Maintenance modelling and optimisation |
Decision support systems and software tools for safety and reliability |
Integrated risk management and risk-informed decision making |
Critical infrastructures |
| 10:30-12:00 |
Risk and hazard analysis |
System reliability analysis |
Maintenance modelling and optimisation |
Safety management systems |
Dynamic reliability |
Critical infrastructures |
| 14:00-15:30 |
Risk and hazard analysis |
System reliability analysis |
Structural reliability and design codes |
Integrated risk management and risk-informed decision making |
Safety culture |
Reliability analysis |
| 16:00-17:30 |
Risk and hazard analysis |
System reliability analysis |
Software reliability |
Integrated risk management and risk-informed decision making |
Decision support systems and software tools for safety and reliability |
Risk perception and communication |
| 20.00 CONFERENCE DINNER (HOTEL RODOS PALACE) |
| Wednessday, September 8, 2010 |
|
ROOM: DELPHI |
ROOM: NAFSIKA A |
ROOM: NAFSIKA B |
ROOM: NEFELI A |
ROOM: NEFELI B |
ROOM: EXECUTIVE A |
| 8:30-10:00 |
Risk and hazard analysis |
System reliability analysis |
Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis |
Safety management systems |
Human Reliability |
Aeronautics and Aerospace |
| 10:30-12:00 |
Risk and hazard analysis |
System reliability analysis |
Safety culture |
Insurance and Finance |
Monte-Carlo Methods |
Automotive Engineering |
| 14:00-15:30 |
Risk and hazard analysis |
Dynamic reliability |
Organizational learning |
Civil Engineering |
Human factors |
Chemical Process Industry |
| 16:00-17:30 |
Risk and hazard analysis |
Reliability and safety data collection and analysis |
Human Factors |
Reliability and safety data collection and analysis |
Reliability analysis |
Health and Medicine |
| Thursday, September 9, 2010 |
|
ROOM: DELPHI |
ROOM: NAFSIKA A |
ROOM: NAFSIKA B |
ROOM: NEFELI A |
ROOM: NEFELI B |
ROOM: EXECUTIVE A |
| 8:30-10:00 |
Risk and hazard analysis |
Reliability and safety data collection and analysis |
Human factors |
Information Technology and Telecommunications |
Surface Transportation (road and train) |
Safety analysis |
| 10:30-12:00 |
Risk and hazard analysis |
Fault identification and diagnostics |
Human factors |
Safety analysis |
Risk control in complex environments |
Occupational safety |
| 14:00-15:30 |
Risk and hazard analysis |
Maintenance modelling and optimisation |
Occupational safety |
Nuclear Engineering |
Electrical and Electronic Engineering |
Monte Carlo Methods |
| 16:00-17:30 |
Risk and hazard analysis |
Maintenance modelling and optimisation |
Occupational safety |
Nuclear Engineering |
Offshore Oil and Gas |
|
| |
| Monday, September 6, 2010 |
| Registration 8:00 |
| Opening and Plenary Session 8:30-10:30 |
| Keynote Lecture by Prof. George Apostolakis, Commissioner United States Nuclear Regulatory |
| Coffeebreak 10:30-10:50 |
| Parallel sessions 10:50-12:00 |
| Risk and hazard analysis |
Chair |
Andrija Volkanovski |
| RAM+L Analysis : A Study case in Brazilian refinery, Leonardo
Carneiro, Adilson Correa Alves |
| Formal Performability Evaluation of Architectural Models
of Critical Infrastructures, Matthias Kuntz, Boudewijn R. Haverkort, Anne
Remke, Stephan Roolvink |
| Risk Reduction Concept to Evaluate Safety Integrity Level
for Overall Emergency System in Process Plant Industry, Masayuki Tanabe,
Atsumi Miyake |
| System reliability analysis |
Chair |
German Badia |
| Dependability Model Transformation - A stochastic process
algebra semantics for ZuverSicht models, Martin Riedl, Johann Schuster,
Markus Siegle, Michael Blum, Frank Schiller |
| Application of standard IEC 62061 to a case study on hydraulic
press brake, Roberta Pirani, M. Demichela, M. Patrucco |
| Reliability Estimation of a Degrading System Subject to
Shocks Using Phase-Type Distributions, M. Carmen Segovia, Pierre-Etienne
Labeau |
| Maintenance modelling and optimisation |
Chair |
David Valis |
| Spare Parts Allocation and Inventory Management for Military
Aircraft Components, Margherita De Minicis, Francesco Costantino, Giulio
Di Gravio |
| Network Mainenance Contribution in Terms of Intellectual
Capital on Distribution Network Services Providers, Juan Gómez, Adolfo Crespo,
Vicente González, Carlos Parra |
| Imperfect testing, false alarms and maintenance scheduling,
M.D.Berrade, Philip Scarf, C.A.V. Cavalcante |
| Occupational safety |
Chair |
Michalis Christou |
| Extending the use of dynamic risk assessments : A review
of a case study in the media sector, Anne-Marie Makin, C. Winder |
| Personal Protection Equipment in permits to work management
at Seveso establishments, P.A. Bragatto, P. Agnello, P. Ansaldi, P.Pittiglio,
L. Cortis |
| Buckling load strength on a crane jib by theoretical calculations
and finite element analysis, Kun-Yue Chen, De-Shin Liu, Lung-Chang Tsai,
Yu-Chuan Liang, Chi-Min Shu |
| Bayesian methods |
Chair |
Pieter van Gelder |
| Bayesian Inference for Time Trends in Parameter Values using
Weighted Evidence Sets, Dana Kelly, Albert Malkhasyan |
| Monte Carlo simulation of railway track geometry deterioration
and restoration, Lisandro Quiroga, E. Schnieder |
| Planning of O&M for offshore wind turbines using Bayesian
graphical models, Jannie Nielsen, John Dalsgaard Sřrensen |
| Non Parametric Continuous Bayesian Belief Nets in Reliability
of Bridges under Traffic Load, O. Morales Napoles, R.D.J.M. Steenbergen,
R.M. Cooke |
| Lunch 12:00-14:00 |
| Parallel sessions 14:00-15:30 |
| Risk and hazard analysis |
Chair |
Olga Aneziris |
| Certain propulsion risk prediction model of a seagoing ship,
Alfred Brandowski, Andrzej Mielewczyk, Hoang Nguyen, Wojciech Frackowiak |
| A study of factors which influence the failure rate of equipment
in the oil and gas industry, Stefan Isaksen, Aronmozhi Anbalagan |
| Decomposition of Fault Trees, Hendrik Schäbe, Klaus Kübler |
| Detailed analysis and discussion of the risk assessment
method presented in Draft ISO 26262 Birgit Milius, Hendrik Schäbe |
| System reliability analysis |
Chair |
German Badia |
| Reliability Prediction case study using different reliability
standards, Gernot Jürgen Riedel, Roland Schmidt |
| Influence of TBF probability models over preventive maintenance
policies, Vinícius Damaso, Pauli Garcia, Mauricio Sant Ana |
| Reliability prediction of oil production wells by particle
swarm-optimized support vector machines, Isis Lins, Márcio Moura, Enrique
Lopez Droguett, Enrico Zio, Carlos Magno Jacinto |
| Measures of component importance in repairable multistate
systems -- a numerical study, Bent Natvig, Arne Huseby, Mads Reistadbakk |
| Maintenance modelling and optimisation |
Chair |
David Valis |
| Calculation of partial safety factors for Tetrapods used
in Korea, Seung-Woo Kim, Kyung-Duck Suh |
| OEE – a KPI for measuring performance within maintenance
management?, Ole Meland |
| A model of quality in preventive maintenance, Philip Scarf,
Cristiano A. V. Cavalcante |
| Maintenance strategies in dynamic environments for repairable
systems with minimal repairs dependent on their deterioration level, Inma
T Castro, Bérenguer Christophe, Anne Barros, KhacTuan Huynh |
| Decision support systems and software tools for safety and
reliability |
Chair |
Tim Bedford |
| Supporting ISO 26262 with SysML, Benefits and Limits, Pierre
David, Mohamed Shawky |
| Simulation versus analytical algorithms to estimate rare-event
probabilities, Radim Bris |
| Gaussian Processes for Failure Prediction of Slow Degradation
Components in Nuclear Power Plants, Miltiadis Alamaniotis, Andreas Ikonomopoulos,
Lefteri H. Tsoukalas |
| Offshore Oil and Gas |
Chair |
EnricoZio |
| A Risk-Based Methodology to Identify Fire Protection Zones,
A. Di Padova, Valerio Cozzani, Tiziana Barbaresi, Fabrizio Tallone, Alessandro
Tugnoli |
| Quantifying risk and prioritizing risk reducing measures
for offshore helicopter operations on the Norwegian Continental Shelf, Solfrid
Hĺbrekke, Tony Krĺkenes |
| Using mixed effects Poisson regression models to analyse
incident data, Jon Andreas Hestad, Jan erje Kvalřy, Torbjorn Lilleheier,
Jan-Erik Vinnem |
| A Methodology Designing Gas Detection System Based on Detector
Efficiency in Offshore Facilities, Jinhoo Park, Samheon Jeong, Kwangpil
Chang |
| Coffeebreak 15:30-16:00 |
| Parallel sessions 16:00-17:30 |
| Risk and hazard analysis |
Chair |
John Andrews |
| Dynamic Risk Assessment in the process industries: proposal
of a methodology based on the System Dynamics approach, Garbolino Emmanuel,
Chery Jean-Pierre, Guarnieri Franck |
| Comparing risk of defective steel coil data using ROC Curves,
J. Carlos García-Diaz, Ana Debón |
| Contribution of UML model to risk analysis of an industrial
system, Hafida Bouloiz, Mohamed Tkiouat, Emmanuel Garbolino |
| Selecting Accident Scenarios for Land Use Planning Purposes,
Michalis Christou, Lorenzo Van Wijk, Zsuzsanna GyenesAlessandro Tugnoli,
Gigliola Spadoni |
| System reliability analysis |
Chair |
German Badia |
| Evaluation of the Shift Strategy Influence on the System
Reliability of Redundant Dynamic Eqipment Using Monte Carlo Simulation Method,
Antonio Longhi, Carlos Frederico Guimarăes Robbs |
| Scheduling resource constraint component activity in network-based
safety-related system, Langeron Yves, Anne Barros, Antoine Grall, Bérenguer
Christophe |
| RAM Analysis for Communication and system for offshore platforms
in a new O&G frontier, Everton Lima, Guilherme Naegeli, Hilton Filho, Mario
Campos |
| Modelling the impact of acceleration stresses on the reliability
of complex systems, Michael Todinov |
| Maintenance modelling and optimisation |
Chair |
David Valis |
| On the estimation of first order sensitivity indices through
random balance designs, Stefano Tarantola, Masato Koda, D. Zeitz |
| Multicriteria analysis of the consequences established by
the RCM (Reliability Centered Maintenance) methodology: a case study, Marcelo
Alencar, Adiel Almeida |
| Multicriteria approaches for maintenance policies selection,
Rodrigo Ferreira, Cristiano A. V. Cavalcante, Adiel Almeida |
| Ecconomic decision support for offshore oil and gas production
in Arctic conditions: Identifying the needs, D. Kairbekova, Tore Markeset |
| Decision support systems and software tools for safety and
reliability |
Chair |
Radim Bris |
| Evaluation of technical condition, safety and reliability
of existing engineering structures, Jaroslav Mencik, Petr Rudolf, Jiri Křupka |
| Model Checking Methodology for Supporting Safety Critical
Software Development and Verification, Janne Valkonen, Jussi Lahtinen, Kim
Björkman, Juho Frits, Ilkka Niemelä |
| Potential Effects on Population Due to an Accidental Release
of Vinyl Chloride in aSea Port, Richard Tavares, Silva J., Lopes M., Miranda
A.I. |
| Toward a methodology for the AltaRica modelling of multi-physical
systems, Romain Adeline, Janette Cardoso, Christel Seguin, Pierre Darfeuil,
Sophie Humbert |
| Accident and incident investigation |
Chair |
Stig Johnsen |
| Fire investigations and analyses for a typical agricultural
county in Yunlin, Taiwan, Yi-Ming Chang, Yaw-Long Wang, Lung-Chang Tsai,
Siou-Yuan Wu, Chi-Min Shu |
| Buncefield: Cause and Consequences, James Venart |
| Safety of LPG rail transportation in the perspective of
the Viareggio accident, Renato Rota, Gabriele Landucci, Alessandro Tugnoli |
| Integrated approach to the analysis of incident causes:
demonstration of its important features, Milos Ferjencik |
| ESRA GENERAL ASSEMBLY 18.00 (ROOM: NAFSIKA A) |
| End of day |
| |
| Tuesday, september 7, 2010 |
| Parallel sessions 8:30-10:00 |
| Risk and hazard analysis |
Chair |
EnricoZio |
| Improvement of after-sales maintenance service using TPM
principles, Isabel Lopes, Eduardo Moreira, Sérgio Sousa |
| A Quality Risk Analysis Considering Human Factors for Bioprocesses,
Alain Carelli, Paulo Fernando F. Frutuoso e Melo, Matheus Prieto Ladario |
| Effects of Congestion Level on Explosion Risk in Offshore
Installations, Samheon Jeong, Kwangpil Chang, Torunn Stranden Davidsen |
| Risk Identification and Quantification in Servers Room Security,
Baicu Floarea, Nicolae Popoviciu, A.M. Barcu |
| System reliability analysis |
Chair |
German Badia |
| Topology optimization for repairable flow networks and safety
- critical systems, Michael Todinov |
| On the preservation of the reliability classes IMIT and
the stochastic ordering MIT by a Poisson process stopped at an independent
random time, German Badia |
| Discrete event simulation versus conventional system reliability
analysis approaches, Igor Kozine |
| Analytical Calculation of Failure Probabilities in Dynamic
Fault Trees including Spare Gates, Guillaume Merle, Jean-Marc Roussel, Jean-Jacques
Lesage, Nicolas Vayatis |
| Maintenance modelling and optimisation |
Chair |
Antoine Grall |
| A model for supporting decisions regarding the operation
and maintenance of offshore wind turbines, Athena Zitrou, Tim Bedford, Lesley
Walls |
| Optimal Maintenance and Replacement Decisions under Technological
Change, Phuong Khanh Nguyen Thi, Thomas Yeung, Bruno Castanier |
| An original multi-nets approach for modelling and evaluating
maintenance strategies, O. Francois, L. Bouillaut, S. Dubois |
| Maintenance Control in Risk Management, Hana Pacaiová, Juraj
Sinay, Stefan Kacvinsky |
| Decision support systems and software tools for safety and
reliability |
Chair |
Tim Bedford |
| Data-Driven On-Line Prediction of the Available Recovery
Time in Nuclear Power Plant Failure Scenarios, Enrico Zio, Francesco Di
Maio |
| Assessing airport runway conditions -- a Bayesian approach,
Arne Huseby, Alex Klein-Paste, Hans Bugge |
| Automated System for Plan Realization in Nuclear Power Plants,
Miltiadis Alamaniotis, Andreas Ikonomopoulos, Lefteri H. Tsoukalas |
| Decision Support by Manoeuvring Prediction On-Board Ships,
Knud Benedict, Sandro Fischer, Michael Gluch, Matthias Kirchhof, Michael
Baldauf |
| Integrated risk management and risk-informed decision making |
Chair |
Zoe Novolianitou |
| Risk Informed Decision Making - Approach for Consideration
of Time-at-Risk, Adrian Bujor |
| Real-Time Security Monitoring of Interdependent Services
in Critical Infrastructures.Case study of a Risk-Based Approach., Jocelyn
Aubert, Thomas Schaberreiter, Christophe Incoul, Djamel Khadraoui |
| Use of resilience in risk assessment such as PHA and HAZOP,
Stig Johnsen |
| A model based approach to the risk thermostat, Geeta Devgun,
Tim Bedford |
| Critical infrastructures |
Chair |
Pieter van Gelder |
| A Formal Approach Supporting Effective and Efficient Training
Program for Improving Operators’ Reliability, Célia Martinie, Philippe Palanque,
Navarre David, Marco Winckler |
| Assessing life-cycle uncertainty in rail track system: A
Bayesian model to predict rail defects, António Andrade, Paulo Fonseca Teixeira |
| An approach for Risk Based Testing (RBT) optimization of
safety systems at chemical plants, Sebastian Martorell |
| Some Considerations on Critical Infrastructure Vulnerability
Assessment, Wolfgang Kröger, Enrico Zio |
| Coffeebreak10:00 - 10:30 |
| Parallel sessions 10:30-12:00 |
| Risk and hazard analysis |
Chair |
John Andrews |
| Risk Oriented Insights in Transformer Fires at Nuclear Insttallations,
Heinz-Peter Berg, Nicole Fritze, Burkhard Forell, M. Roewekamp |
| Automating the Risk and Hazard Analysis via Generic Domain
Concepts in Formal Ontologies, Henning Jost |
| Approach of an Automotive Generic Hazard List, Daniel Beisel,
C. Reuß, E. Schnieder |
| Method for assuring that self-imposed changes made by adaptive
systems do not compromise safety, André Hauge, Ketil Střlen, Terje Sivertsen |
| System reliability analysis |
Chair |
German Badia |
| Improving the Efficiency of Dynamic Fault Tree Analysis
by Considering Gates FDEP as Static, Guillaume Merle, Jean-Marc Roussel,
Jean-Jacques Lesage |
| Solving homogeneous semi-Markov processes through a faster
and straightforward way, Márcio Moura, Enrique Lopez Droguett |
| Statistical estimation, modelling and prediction for recurrent
events from repairable systems submitted to partial observation, Vincent
Couallier, Genia Babykina |
| Reliability Analysis of Multi-State Degraded Systems Containing
Multiple Performance Parameters Subject to Random Shocks, Chun-yang Li,
Xun Chen, Jun-yong Tao, Xin-xin Li |
| Maintenance modelling and optimisation |
Chair |
Antoine Grall |
| The use of maintenance optimization models – an empirical
study from the Norwegian oil and gas industry, Jon Selvik, Roger Flage,
Terje Aven |
| Use of Delay Time Concept and BN for Effective Maintenance
Planning, B. Jones, I. Jenkinson, Z. Xang & J. Wang |
| Development of a new approach to establish inspection frequency
in a RBI assessment, Jose Sobral, Luis Ferreira |
| Application of a Reliability Centered Maintenance model
to assess the performances of complex maintenance strategies in nuclear
power plants., Valérie Zille, Bérenguer Christophe, Antoine Grall, Antoine
Despujols |
| Safety management systems |
Chair |
Pieter van Gelder |
| Modeling Dialysis Service in Disaster to Assess Its Resilience,
T. Fujii, T. Kanno, K. Furuta |
| The "taylorization" of safety management, Stian Antonsen,
Kari Skarholt |
| The Social Construction of HSE Culture: A case study of
the Norwegian Petroleum Industry, J. Karlsen, H. Valen |
| Supporting the Safety Management – Automated Safety Case
Processes, Jörg Müller, E. Schreider |
| Dynamic reliability |
Chair |
Florent Brissaud |
| On the Time Paradox of Dynamic Multi-System Reliability
Simulation, Uwe Kay Rakowsky |
| Reliability of a System Subject to a Random Shock Process,
Ji Cha |
| Assessment of industrial applicability of Electric Signature
Analysis as diagnostic and prognostic tool, Luca Fumagalli, Stefano Ierace,
Marco Macchi, Sergio Cavalieri |
| Electrical cables diagnostics using an experimental dataset
of Partial Discharge measurements containing contradictory patterns, Piero
Baraldi, Enrico Zio, Michele Compare, Michele de Nigris, Giuseppe Rizzi |
| Critical infrastructures |
Chair |
Myrto Konstandinidou |
| Estimation of cascade failure probability in electrical
transmission networks by Subset Simulation, Enrico Zio, Lucia Golea, Nicola
Pedroni, Giovanni Sansavini |
| Level diagrams for decision aiding in multiobjective optimization
problems, Enrico Zio, Roberta Bazzo |
| Critical infrastructures and risk analysis of electricity
supply, Gerd Kjřlle, Ingrid B Utne |
| Framing vulnerability analysis of critical infrastructure
regarding information security, Ling Zhou, Wolfgang Kröger, Ralf Mock |
| Lunch 12:00-14:00 |
| Parallel sessions 14:00-15:30 |
| Risk and hazard analysis |
Chair |
Andrija Volkanovski |
| Analysis of LPG vessels with defective thermal coatings
in large scale fire scenarios, Simone Larcher, Gabriele Landucci, Alessandro
Tugnoli, Valerio Cozzani |
| Use of Bayesian network for modelling Risk Indicator Factors,
Ole Magnus Nyheim, Jřrn Vatn, Jan Erik Vinnem, Bjřrn Axel Gran, Linda Martens
Pedersen |
| Exposure Assessment addressing random failures and deviations
of critical control points in processing food, Eva Doménech, I. Escriche,
Sebastian Martorell |
| Risk Analysis of Infections Caused by Zoonoses in Brno City,
Pavla Krejcova, František Božek, Jiri Dvorak, Josef Kellner |
| System reliability analysis |
Chair |
Olga Aneziris |
| A time-discrete extended Gamma process for deterioration
processes, Gianpaolo Pulcini, Maurizio Guida, Fabio Postiglione |
| Estimating Parameters of Mixed Weibull Distributions using
Genetic Algorithms, Benjamin Klein, Bernd Bertsche |
| Cost-based reliability optimization of a very large volume
neutrino telescope system, Ioannis Papazoglou, Eftychia Marcoulaki |
| Analysis, quantification, and optimization of system reliability-formalized
definition of reliability topologies and values for system optimization,
Marco Junglas, Amir Kazeminia, Eick Rüdiger, Dirk Söffker |
| Structural reliability and design codes |
Chair |
Terje Aven |
| Reliability analysis of structures affected by icing, J.
Marková, J. Holicky |
| An approach for reliability optimization of mechatronicsystems
during design phase, Amir Kazeminia, Marco Junglas, Dirk Söffker |
| Some Multivariate Weibull Distributions With Application
to Structural Reliability Assessment, Bernt Leira |
| Reliability elements for assessment of existing bridges,
M. Holický, J. Marková |
| Integrated risk management and risk-informed decision making |
Chair |
Zoe Novolianitou |
| Risk-informed decision-making on changes to Allowed Outage
Times addressing uncertainties, S. Martorell, M. Villamizar, J.F. Villanueva,
S. Carlos |
| Cost-effectiveness analysis and multicriteria approaches:
two irreplaceable paradigms for different problems in risk and safety problems,
Adiel Almeida-Filho, Adiel Almeida |
| Incorporating some security-related aspects in the functional
safety analyses of distributed control and protection systems, Tomasz Barnert,
Kazimierz Kosmowski, Marcin Sliwinski |
| Safety culture |
Chair |
Myrto Konstandinidou |
| ”Inclusion” or ”exclusion”: Two different approaches in
safety management when working with contractors, Rolf Bye, Jřrn Fenstad |
| “Tough Men Cries” - - Learning from Sharp End Military Aviation,
Trygve Steiro, Christian Moldjord, Kristian Firing, Pĺl Fredriksen |
| Educational aspects of systematic occupational training,
Trine Stene |
| European Project ESSEEM: How Can It Contribute to Safety
in European Explosive Sector?, Milos Ferjencik |
| Reliability analysis |
Chair |
Enrico Zio |
| Can we understand complex systems in terms of risk analysis?,
J. Vatn |
| Dynamic Modelling of Vulnerability and Interoperability
in Critical Infrastructures, P. Trucco, E. Cagno, M. De Ambroggi, P. Grassi,
M. Errera |
| A preventve replacement policy for a system under random
time horizon, A. Khatab, N. Rezg, D. Ait-Kadi |
| Assessment of prognostic in maintenance decision-making
for a deteriorating system under indirect condition monitoring, K.T. Huynh,
A. Barros, C. Bérenguer |
| Coffeebreak 15:30-16:00 |
| Parallel sessions 16:00-17:30 |
| Risk and hazard analysis |
Chair |
Paolo Trucco |
| Fault diagnosis in the steel coil manufacturing process,
J. Carlos Garcıa-Dıaz, A. Debon |
| HAZOP Study for Kiln Start-up Process of a Cement Production
Plant, G. Maragos, C. Kouris, Y. Pilihos, S. Zacharis, C. Malami, P.D. Petrolekas |
| SAVE ME Project: improving safety of transportation infrastructures
using innovative technologies, S. Marsella, U. Delprato, M. Marzoli |
| Benchmark study for a flammable liquid depot - A comparison
of two risk analyses, C.J.A. Lenoble, F.R.Antoine, C. Bovin, E.S. Kooi,
P.A.M. Uijt De Haag |
| System reliability analysis |
Chair |
German Badia |
| Probabilistic verification of Architectural software models
using SoftArc and Prism, Boudewijn R. Haverkort, Matthias Kuntz, Florian
Leitner-Fischer, Anne Remke, Stephan Roolvink |
| Common-cause failures and true availability of network connections:
Size effects, Christian Tanguy |
| Not Yet Another Language for Petri-Nets, Bernhard Fechner |
| Availability assessment of transmission networks consisting
of a few ATMLightRings, Stamenkovic Borivoje |
| Software reliability |
Chair |
Agapios Platis |
| Identifying Possible Rules for Selecting the Most Important
Component Failure Dependencies in Compound Software, M. Kristiansen, R.
Winther, B. Natvig |
| Dependability Measures Maximum Likelihood Estimation for
a Redundant System with Minimal, Perfect and Failed Rejuvenation, Vasilis
Koutras, Agapios Platis, Nikolaos Limnios |
| Service-oriented reliability analysis for collaborative
mechatronic laboratories involved in virtual training, Henrik Madsen, Grigore
Albeanu, Radu Tarca, Popentiu Florin |
| Intuitionistic Fuzzy Methods in Software Reliability Modelling
and Optimization, Henrik Madsen, Grigore Albeanu, Popentiu Florin |
| Integrated risk management and risk-informed decision making |
Chair |
Sabestian Martorell |
| Causal Modelling of Lower Consequence Rail Safety Incidents,
William Marsh, George Bearfield |
| Further validation of organizational influencing factors
of proactive risk management, Joel Luyk, Jan L. Rouvroye |
| Risk Informed Decision Making - Specific aspects for risk-informing
decision in a regulatory environment, A. Bujor & R. Gheorghe |
| Decision support systems and software tools for safety and
reliability |
Chair |
Radim Bris |
| Concurrent Importance and Sensitivity analysis applied to
multiple Fault-trees, Sergio Contini, Luciano Fabbri, Vaidas Matuzas |
| Quantification of Maritime Operational Risks to enhance
Alert Management onboard Ships, Michael Baldauf, Jens-Uwe Schröder, Knud
Benedict, Florian Motz |
| Security In Civil Aviation Post 9/11, Elise Anonby Olsvik,
Ole A. Engen |
| Quality Function Deployment Methodology as a systematic
assessment tool for the efficiency of Organizational Training in Occupational
Safety, P. I. Bouzakis, A. A. Chalkidou, G. A. Papadakis |
| Risk perception and communication |
Chair |
Ben Ale |
| Risk management based on choosing of signal from multiple
measurements, Jan Kamenicky |
| Risk perception and learning from experience, J.R. Eiser |
| Risk Communication Design Based on Persona Method, N. Suka,
T. Kaneko, K. Furuta, T. Kanno |
| Risk Perception of Work Related Musculoskeletal Disorders
in Pre-hospital Emergency Nursing Staff, Madalena Torres, Pedro Arezes,
M.P. Barroso |
| Conference dinner 20.00 (RODOS PALACE HOTEL) |
| End of day |
| |
| Wednessday, september 8, 2010 |
| Parallel sessions 8:30-10:00 |
| Risk and hazard analysis |
Chair |
Myrto Konstandinidou |
| Risk Analysis and Retention Optimization of Road Safety
Barriers Based on Bayesian Networks, Karel Jung, Jana Marková |
| Risk perception, climate change adaptation and counter-terror
policies, Urs Brandt |
| Analysis and some improvements of FMECA, Jaroslav Zajicek |
| Multi-criteria decision analysis framework for risk management
of oil and gas pipelines, Alex. W. Dawotola, P.H.A.J.M van Gelder & J.K
Vrijling |
| System reliability analysis |
Chair |
German Badia |
| Seismic Response of the Swiss Transmission Grid, E.I. Bilis,
M. Raschke, W. Kröger |
| Stochastic Activity Networks for the modelling and simulation
of fault-tolerant systems, Samia Maza |
| Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis |
Chair |
Stefano Tarantola |
| Possibility-probability transformations for comparing different
approaches to the treatment of epistemic uncertainties in fault tree analysis,
Roger Flage, Piero Baraldi, Enrico Zio, Terje Aven |
| Sensitivity analysis of steel frame structures, Zdenek Kala |
| Quantification of Uncertainty in Fault Tree Analysis with
Correlated Basic Events, DurgaRao Karanki, Vinh Dang |
| Safety management systems |
Chair |
Miltiades Alamaniotis |
| Risk based thinking is more important than accurate risk
modelling, Ove Njĺ, Eivind Rake, Ragnhild Aanestad, Geir Sverre Braut |
| Organizational failures leading to accidents in aviation:
A case study from helicopter emergency medical services operations, Stathis
Malakis, Tom Kontogiannis |
| Coordinability and Consistency in Accident Causation and
System Safety: Towards a Formal Foundation of Safety in Multilevel Sociotechnical
Systems, Raghvendra V Cowlagi, Joseph H. Saleh |
| Human Reliability |
Chair |
Luca Podofillini |
| Identification of Errors of Commission for a Swiss Nuclear
Power Plant: application of the CESA method, Luca Podofillini, Vinh Dang,
Olivier Nusbaumer, Dennis Dres |
| Addressing HRA Model Differences, Erasmia Lois, Ali Mosleh,
John A. Forester |
| Does Interpreting the human factor as a cooperation quality
improve our capability of understanding the nature of industrial accidents?,
Paulo Santos, Paulo Fernando F. Frutuoso e Melo |
| HRA Dependency Analysis Using the EPRI HRA Approach, J.A. Julius, J.F. Grobbelaar, K.D. Kohlhepp |
| Aeronautics and Aerospace |
Chair |
Zoe Novolianitou |
| The assessment of aviation objects reliability as referred
to operational safety, A. Krutkow, M. Pigłas & M. Zieja |
| ELISA: An Innovative Approach for Enhanced Aircraft System
Lean Installation Safety Assessments, Moutier Hélčne, Sylvain Metge, Narayan
Vishal |
| Managing ATC Expertise based on Distributed Cognition Analysis,
Satoru Inoue, Keiichi Nakata, Hisae Aoyama, Kazuo Furuta |
| Air traffic smoothness as a measure of air traffic safety,
Jacek Skorupski |
| Coffeebreak10:00 - 10:30 |
| Parallel sessions 10:30-12:00 |
| Risk and hazard analysis |
Chair |
EnricoZio |
| Dependencies in Event Trees analyzed by Petri Nets, Ondrej
Nyvlt, Marvin Rausand |
| Modeling of Ship Collision Probability using Dynamic Traffic
Simulation, F. Goerlandt & P. Kujala |
| A note on the rationale for the use of risk acceptance criteria
based on the expected utility theory, E.B. Abrahamsen |
| Bibliographical review and numerical comparison of statistical
estimation methods for the three-parameter Weibull distribution, Emmanuel
Remy, Edwige Idée , Philippe Briand, Romain Francois |
| System reliability analysis |
Chair |
German Badia |
| Switchyard fault tree analysis, Marko Čepin |
| Parametric inference in a perturbed gamma degradation process
with covariates, L. Bordes, C. Paroissin & A. Salami |
| A New Approach Towards Systematic Reuse of Safety and Reliability
Models, Carolina GómezPeter Liggesmeyer, Oliver Mäckel, Ariane Sutor |
| Reduced ZBDD construction algorithm for large fault trees
analysis, Sergio Contini, Vaidas Matuzas |
| Safety culture |
Chair |
Myrto Konstandinidou |
| Mediating socio-cognitive links between safety climate and
safety behaviors in chemical industry, Carla S. Fugas & Silvia A. Silva |
| Operational training as a source of organizational learning
and integration, M. Hermundsgĺrd & S. Antonsen |
| Cross-cultural surveys on patient views of adverse events
between China and Japan, Xiuzhu Gu, Kenji Itoh |
| A Holistic and network-based approach to analyzing and improving
operational safety at nuclear power plants, Kristiina Hukki |
| Insurance and Finance |
Chair |
OlgaAneziris |
| The Financial Crisis in an Operational Risk Management Context
– A Review of Causes and Influencing Factors, L. B. Andersena,D. Hägera,
S. Maberga, M. B. Nćssa, M. Tunglanda |
| The Influence of unhealthy organisational culture on operational
risk exposure in financial trading, Lasse Berg Andersen, Marianne Bay Nćss,
David Häger |
| An Event Classification Scheme for Causal Modeling of Operational
Risk in the Financial Industry, Lasse Berg Andersen, David Häger |
| Monte-Carlo Methods |
Chair |
Andrea Monferini |
| Monte Carlo Simulation for modelling & analysing External
Explosion Event probability, J. Hauschild & M. Andernacht |
| Modelling of transport of radioactive substances from underground
storage for risk assessment - a case study, Josef Chudoba, Pavel Praks,
Pierre-Etienne Labeau |
| Elements of risk analysis for collision of oil tankers,
Jakub Montewka, Kaarle Stĺhlberg, Tapio Seppala, Pentti Kujala |
| Accuracy analysis for reliability parameters estimation
of a network system with non-independent components, Jacek Malinowski |
| Automotive Engineering |
Chair |
Stefan Bracke |
| ‘Optimised Multi-Stage Sampling Procedures (OMSP)’ concept,
contribution to the field-data-analysis of complex damage causes, Stefan
Bracke, Stephan Haller |
| Design of Prototype test Procedures (DPP concept) for complex
damage causes in automotive engineering, Stefan Bracke, Ralf Breede, Roderich
Rose |
| Reliability and safety in full brake systems with ABS, Dirk
Althaus, Andreas Braasch, Marco Schlummer, Arno Meyna |
| Hardware-fault-metrics in IEC 61508 and ISO 26262 – a comparison,
Maria Binfet-Kull |
| Lunch 12:00-14:00 |
| Parallel sessions 14:00-15:30 |
| Risk and hazard analysis |
Chair |
EnricoZio |
| A process and risk metamodel for business process management
by uncertainty, Gurvan Uguen, Claire Lassudrie |
| Use of CFD for calculation of dispersion of LPG along rail
transport routes situated above or below ground level, Inge Trijssenaar,
Johan Reinders |
| Probabilistic Risk Assessment of NPP Systems for Earthquake
Events, In-Kil Choi, Jung-Han Kim, Jin-Hee Park |
| Operational Risk in Banking Identification Tool (ORBIT):
A Proactive Approach to Loss Event Identification, Lasse Berg Andersen,
Malene Tungland |
| Dynamic reliability |
Chair |
Florent Brissaud |
| Reliability from the point of view of the dynamics of fatigue
processes in selected structural components of an aircraft, J. Żurek, H.
Tomaszek, Z. Smalko & M. Zieja |
| Dynamic Reliability Modeling of Cooperating Digital-Based
Systems, Florent Brissaud, Carol Smidts, Anne Barros, Bérenguer Christophe |
| Analysis of a simplified digital control system for a nuclear
power plant pressurizer through the Dynamic Flowgraph Methodology, J.M.O.
Pinto, P.F. Frutuoso e Melo |
| Standby phenomena investigation from both internal and external
perspectives, Salvatore Distefano |
| Organizational learning |
Chair |
Lisbeth Hansson |
| Development within Safety and Event Analysis Research: Categorizing
and Discussing the Approaches, Atoosa P-J Thunem |
| Mobility versus continuity at work - What are the HSE consequences?
A case study from the Norwegian oil and gas industry, Lisbeth Hansson, Kari
Skarholt, Stian Antonsen |
| Standardisation and harmonisation of work processes - a
challenging organisational change, Lisbeth Hansson, Lone Slettbakk Ramstad |
| Organisational learning in banking through loss event reporting,
Lasse Berg Andersen, Marianne Bay Nćss, Malene Tungland |
| Civil Engineering |
Chair |
Terje Aven |
| Comfort criteria for footbridge response on single pedestrian
induced vibration analysis, Jiri Kala, Petr Hradil, Vlastislav Salajka |
| Optimum Target Reliability Levels for Industrial Heritage
Structures, Miroslav Sykora, Milan Holicky, Jana Marková, Knut Kvaal, Thomas
Thiis |
| The effect of blast in bridge design, Eva Karasová, Marek
Foglar, Vladimír Křístek |
| Studies on the Effect of Flaw Detection Probability Assumptions
on Risk Reduction at Non-Destructive Inspection, Kaisa Simola, Ilkka Männistö,
Jens Gunnars, Lars Alverlind, Luca Gandossi |
| Human factors |
Chair |
Michalis Christou |
| Orthopedic physical therapists musculoskeletal disorders,
Jian-Ming Wei, Chi-Min Shu, Hui-Ming Liu,Yung-Chuan Chu |
| Multidimensional FMECA for assessing the impact of RFId
technology on blood transfusion risks, Paolo Trucco, Michela Cavallin |
| Problems of reliability analysis of passenger transportation
process M. Młyńczak, T. Nowakowski, F. Restel, S. Werbińska-Wojciechowska |
| A proposed model for maturity evaluation in occupational
health and Safety Management Systems, Luis Franz, Pedro Arezes, Fernando
Amaral |
| Chemical Process Industry |
Chair |
Andrija Volkanovski |
| Sympathetic detonation: why and how to include it to risk
analysis of plant handling explosives, L. Dostal, M. Ferjencik |
| Towards a method to calculate risks of underground pipelines
transporting hazardous substances, Margreet Spoelstra, Gerald Laheij |
| Safety organization resilience based on frontline teams:
added value of virtual reality technologies - Virthualis Project -, E. Plot,
F. Camus, M. Konstandinidou, Z. Nivolianitou, A. Monferini, Ch. Leva, T.
Kontogiannis, M. Naar, M. Mokri, A. Aines, L. Behilil |
| Coffeebreak 15:30-16:00 |
| Parallel sessions 16:00-17:30 |
| Risk and hazard analysis |
Chair |
Olga Aneziris |
| The Impact of Maintenance on Passenger Airline Safety, Matthew
Robichaud, Karen Marais, Sarah Arnac |
| A BBN approach for analysis of maritime accident scenarios,
Svein Kristiansen |
| Atypical Major Hazards/Scenarios and their Inclusion in
risk analysis, Nicola Paltrinieri, Valerio Cozzani, Mike Wardman, Nicolas
Dechy, Ernesto Salzano |
| Resampling expert estimates for the consequence parameterization
of explosions, Thomas Aschmoneit, Ivo Häring |
| Reliability and safety data collection and analysis |
Chair |
Zoe Novolianitou |
| Challenges in the reliablity and safetydata collection for
offshore wind turbines, Zafar Hameed, Jřrn Vatn, Mahmoud Valibeglio |
| Lifetime Prediction of Accelerated Degradation Testing Using
Support Vector Machine and Proportional Hazards-Proportional Odds, Tingting
Huang, Ruijian Huo, Tongmin Jiang, Shuzhen Li |
| On the use of stochastic processes for RUL estimation: a
case study, Khanh Le Son, Anne Barros, Mitra Fouladirad |
| Statistical analysis of exceedances related to the accidental
snow loads, Milan Stehlik, Zoltan Sadovsky |
| Human Factors |
Chair |
Tim Bedford |
| Communicating Risk in Planning Activities Distributed in
Time, Sizarta Sarshar, Thorbjřrn Sand |
| Human & Organizational Factors impact on risk level in an
NG treatment and storage plant, Andrea Monferini, Myrto Konstandinidou,
Z. Nivolianitou, Steen Weber, T. Kontogiannis, P. Kafka |
| A proposed model to account for human factors in safety-critical
systems, Vincentius Rumawas, Bjřrn Egil Asbjřrnslett |
| Development of a visual interface for the assessment of
the common performance conditions in Human Reliability Analysis, Piero Baraldi,
Angelo Sogaro, Myrto Konstandinidou, Zoe Nivolianitou |
| Reliability and safety data collection and analysis |
Chair |
Stefan Bracke |
| A Comparative Study of Vessel Accident Databases from a
Risk Management Perspective, Bjřrn Egil Asbjřrnslett, Martin Hassel, Lars
Petter Hole |
| Reliability models of transportation systems of low cost
airlines, Artur Kierzkowski |
| Some methods to estimate reliability for nonlinear degradation
measurements : application on fatigue crack length data, Julien Baussaron,
Mihaela Barreau, Leo Gerville-Reache, Fabrice Guérin, Paul Schimmerling |
| GIS software tools application for dangerous goods transport
risk evaluation, T. Saska & J. Novák & J. Šmída & J. Havlíček, R. Soušek |
| Reliability analysis |
Chair |
John Andrews |
| Integrated analysis of system reliability and productive
capacity of a production line, Adolf Arata, Fredy Kristjanpoller, Pablo
Viveros, Enrico Zio |
| Near Surface Repository Reliability Analysis Considering
Parameter Uncertainties, L.A. Aguiar, V.C. Damaso, P.A.A. Garcia |
| Pattern-based Safety Engineering: Semantic Enrichment of
System-Architecture Models for Semi- Automated Safety Analysis, Kay Höfig,
Dominik Domis, Mario Trapp, Heiko Stallbaum |
| Life and Reliabilitry Prediction of Constant-Stress Accellerated
Degradation Testing using Time Series Method, Li Wang, Xiaoyang Li, Tongmin
Jiang, Tingting Huang |
| Health and Medicine |
Chair |
Effie Markoulaki |
| Clinical “Risk Control Rules": a new approach for predicting
and preventing risk against patient safety in clinical settings, Stefano
Arici, Paolo Bertelč, Paolo Trucco |
| Surgical pathway safety assessment through checklist data
processing: A pseudo reliability model, Paolo Trucco, Francesco Lorenzi |
| Dimensions of healthcare safety climate and their correlation
with safety outcomes in Japanese hospitals, Kenji Itoh, Henning Andersen |
| Use of discriminant analysis for medical data evaluation,
Marcela Rabasová, Lubomír Martínek, R. Briš |
| End of day |
| |
| Thursday, september 9, 2010 |
| Parallel sessions 8:30-10:00 |
| Risk and hazard analysis |
Chair |
OlgaAneziris |
| Determination of design axle loads for bridges from measurements,
R.D.J.M. Steenbergen & O. Morales Nápoles |
| Challenges and Risk Assessment of Remote Operations of Oil
and Gas Installations, Stig Johnsen |
| Progress in Guttman Scaling of IT Security Objectives, Ralf
Mock, Eva Kollmann, Philipp Aeschlimann, Corin Ballhaus |
| On the ethics of risk assessment, Jan-Erik Vinnem |
| Reliability and safety data collection and analysis |
Chair |
Zoe Novolianitou |
| How to detect trends in ageing and forecast component failures
of power utilities with NHPP ?, Veronique Verrier, Marie-Agnčs Garnero,
Edwige Idée |
| Mission profile and its effect onto system reliability,
Miroslav Koucky, David Valis, Z. Vintr |
| Case study: reliability analysis of natural-gas pressure-regulating
installation, Marko Gerbec |
| Human factors |
Chair |
Luca Podofillini |
| The context matters: Maritime safety in the Vessel Traffic
Service (VTS) Domain, Gesa Praetorius, Margareta Lützhöft, Karl Bruno |
| Integrating Team Effect into the Current Human Reliability
Analysis Methods, Jun Zhao, JieJuan Tong, Tao Liu, Yu Yu, XiangRui Huang |
| Chaotic Voice Analysis Method for Human Arousal Level Evaluation,
Kakuichi Shiomi, Kiyoshi Sato |
| A stand with human factors in maintenance, Radim Doležal |
| Information Technology and Telecommunications |
Chair |
Pieter van Gelder |
| ShapeShifter: A Generic Framework for Identifying, Categorizing,
Analyzing, Configuring and Managing Information Assets of Systems and Their
Agents, Harald Thunem |
| Methodology of specification of the Information security
requirements in the information and communication technology systems, Ireneusz
Jozwiak, Tomasz Nowakowski, Artur Szleszynski |
| Information security diagnosis for small and medium-size
enterprises-a case study on a southern Taiwanese retail business, Wen-Tsung
HwangJ.F. Yen, Fang-Chang Tsai, Chi-Min Shu |
| Reliable and Secure Data in Grid Environments, S. Distefano,
V.D. Cunsolo, A. Poliafito |
| Surface Transportation (road and train) |
Chair |
Tim Bedford |
| Quantitative operational risk analysis for dangerous goods
transportation through cut and cover road tunnels, K. Kirytopoulos, A. Rentizelas,
K. Kazaras, I. Tatsiopoulos |
| Modeling failure cascades in critical infrastructures with
physically-characterized components and interdependencies, Enrico Zio, Giovanni
Sansavini |
| Model for Reliability Description of Non-Repaired Items
Group, Zdenek Vintr, Michal Vintr |
| Tanker versus Dry Cargo - The use of Safety Management Systems
within Norwegian Dry Cargo Shipping, Helle Oltedal, Ole A. Engen |
| Safety analysis |
Chair |
Terje Aven |
| Basis of Assessment of Structural Robustness, M. Sykora
& M. Holicky |
| Experts’ elicitation of prior knowledge on accidental releases
in a natural gas pipeline, T.V. Garcez, A.T. de Almeida-Filho, A.T. de Almeida
& M.H. Alencar |
| Assessment of accidental snow loads for the design of structures,
Z. Sadovský,P. Faško, K. Mikulová, J. Pecho |
| Risks of new technologies: Tradeoffs of target and ancillary
risks, A. S. Jovanović |
| Coffeebreak10:00 - 10:30 |
| Parallel sessions 10:30-12:00 |
| Risk and hazard analysis |
Chair |
Andrija Volkanovski |
| Severe accidents in the context of energy security and critical
infrastructure protection, Peter Burgherr, Petrissa Eckle, Stefan Hirschberg |
| Fire and thermal explosion accident investigations of cumene
hydroperoxide in Taiwan, H.C. Chou, J.M. Wei, S.H. Wu, J.H. Chi, A. Bandyopadhyay,
C.M. Shu |
| Analyzing Security Risks in Critical Infrastructures Embedded
in Systems of Systems: How to Capture the Impact of Interdependencies, Olav
Ligaarden, Ketil Střlen |
| Time coordination of primary and back-up distance protections
with starting elements in electrical power systems, J. Magott, M. Lukowicz |
| Fault identification and diagnostics |
Chair |
Harald Thunem |
| Extend learning monitored domain defined in operating condition
space using one-class SVM - Application to civil turbofan start capability
monitoring., A. Grall, P. Beauseroy, E. Grall-Maës, A. Ausloos, J.R. Masse |
| Control of ageing of industrial facilities: comparison of
the policies in France and in 4 foreign countries, Ahmed Adjadj, Valérie
de Dianous, Olivier Dolladille, Gaëtan Prodhomme & Mathieu Reimeringer |
Comparison of different methods of aggregation of model
ensemble outcomes in the validation and reconstruction of real nuclear power
plant signals, P. Baraldi, F. Mangili,E. Zio, G. Gola, D. Roverso & M. Hoffmann
|
| Wavelet Based Algorithm for Fault Detection on Textiles,
V. Finěk & D. Černá |
| Human factors |
Chair |
Luca Podofillini |
| A framework for the layer of protection analysis and alarm
system design including human factors, Kazimierz Kosmowski, Przemyslaw Kacprzak |
| Enhanced Bayesian THERP – Experiences from HRA method evaluation,
Kent Bladh, Jan-Erik Holmberg, Johanna Oxstrand, Pekka Pyy |
| Assessment of the CESA-q HRA method against simulator data,
Luca Podofillini, Bernhard Reer |
| Fire HRA methodology at EDF : the basic and the MERMOS approaches,
Helene Pesme, Pierre Le Bot |
| Safety analysis |
Chair |
Stefano Tarantola |
| Decision analysis versus risk management: comparing two
approaches to a maintenance decision for an ageing system, T.E. Nřkland,
S.Guikema, T.Aven |
| Metaphors and Models In Risk, Ben Ale |
Reliability of Web-Servicesand Multimedia Teaching, Ildiko
Margit Pasc, Răzvan-Daniel Albu, Florin Popentiu, Radu Cătălin Ţarca, Ioana
Barda, Henrik Madsen
|
| Optimal Condition-Based Resurfacing Decisions for Roads,
Mariem Zouch, Thomas G. Yeung & Bruno Castanier |
| Risk control in complex environments |
Chair |
Ben Ale |
| Possibilities for Practical Implementation of Blue-green
Algae Bloom Reduction, Josef Kellner, Lenka Šubrtová, Josef Navrátil, Alena
Langerová, Alena Bumbová |
| Identifying Gaps in Crisis Management and Emergency Preparedness:A
Methodological Approach for Studying Inter-Organizational Collaboration
Needs in National Catastrophes, Janne Hagen |
| Real Problems of Critical Infrastructure Threatening the
Region Safety, Dana Prochazkova |
| Important parameters for the successful management of floods
in Greece, Z. Nivolianitou, B. Synodinou |
| Occupational safety |
Chair |
Valerio Cozzani |
| Occupational safety, health and major accident hazard at
an industrial Park, Paolo Bragatto, Patrizia Agnello, MariaGrazia Gnoni,
Ilaria Ragusa |
| Towards an Integrated Use of Video Technology and Performance
Measurement to Improve Workplace Safety: A Preliminary Framework, Paola
Cocca, Filippo Marciano, Marco Alberti |
| A scale-free network model for probabilistic assessment
of Romanian Power Grid, Anatoli Ulmeanu, Virgilius Dumbrava |
| Lunch 12:00-14:00 |
| Parallel sessions 14:00-15:30 |
| Risk and hazard analysis |
Chair |
Effie Markoulaki |
| Risk analysis of extraordinary accident in industrial company,
Petra Suchardova, Ales Bernatik, Oldrich Sucharda |
| Generating unambiguous and more complete HAZOP-expressions,
Bernhard Hulin, Rolf Tschachtli |
| Correlation models in flood risk analysis, Ferdinand Diermanse,
Chris Geerse |
| Failure modes in ports – a functional approach to throughput
vulnerability, Oyvind Berle, Jim Rice, Bjřrn Egil Asbjřrnslett |
| Maintenance modelling and optimisation |
Chair |
Antoine Grall |
| A fuzzy-probabilistic maintenance optimization model for
two interactive failure modes, Mariana Carvalho, Eusébio Nunes, José Telhada |
| Maintenance optimisation of k-out-of-n systems based on
costs, D. Valis, Z. Vintr, M. Koucky |
| Maintenance Process Analysis for System Functional Capability
Requirements, John Andrews, Sean Reed, Sarah Dunnett |
| Occupational safety |
Chair |
Marko Gerbec |
| Occupational Risk of building construction, O. N. Aneziris,
I. A. Papazoglou, E. Topali |
| Occupational Risk Management for release of hazardous substances
from closed containments, I.A. Papazoglou, M. Konstandinidou, O.N. Aneziris,
H. Baksteen, M. Mud, M. Damen, J. Kuiper, L.J. Bellamy, J. Oh |
| Occupational Risk Management for fires, O.N. Aneziris, I.A.
Papazoglou, M. Konstandinidou, H. Baksteen, M. Mud, M. Damen, J. Kuiper,
L.J. Bellamy, J. Oh |
| Safety factor of crane hooks by various approaches, Kun-Yue
Chen, De-Shin Liu, Lung-Chang Tsai, Min-Siou Liaw, Chi-Min Shu |
| Nuclear Engineering |
Chair |
E. Lois |
| A Survey of Secondary Effects from Fires in Nuclear Power
Plants, Burkhard Forell, Svante Einarsson |
| MOSAIQUE - A software for estimating probabilistic uncertainty
of safety analysis using computerized simulation models, SangHoon Han, Ho-Gon
Lim, Yun-Je Cho |
| Estimation of the failure probability of a thermal-hydraulic
passive system by means of Artificial Neural Networks and quadratic Response
Surfaces, Enrico Zio, George E. Apostolakis, Nicola Pedroni |
| U.S. NRC Activities in the Area of Dynamic Level 2 Probabilistic
Safety Assessments, Donald Helton, Nathan Siu, Jeff LaChance, Tunc Aldemir,
Ali Mosleh |
| Electrical and Electronic Engineering |
Chair |
Sebastian Martorell |
| Principles for maintenance and reinvestments management
of electricity distribution assets, Agnes Nybř, DagEirik Nordgĺrd |
| A Fault Model for Integrated Parallel Systems, Bernhard
Fechner |
| Extraordinary Events - Understanding Sequence, Causes, and
Remedies, Emil Johansson, Agnes Nybř, Kjetil Uhlen, Gerd Kjřlle, Oddbjřrn
Gjerde |
| Decision support for risk-based electricity distribution
system asset management, Maria Catrinu, DagEirik Nordgĺrd, Kjell Sand |
| Monte Carlo Methods |
Chair |
Andrea Monferini |
| Grid Computing Dependability Analysis Based on Monte Carlo
Simulation, Sonia Malefaki, Agapios Platis |
| Prognosis of machine tool warranty costs considering arising
risks through weak data sets and unknown load profiles, Gisela Lanza, Benjamin
Behmann, Patrick Werner |
| About the estimation of the redundancy of a system, Christian
Paroissin |
| Monte-Carlo-Method for non-linear tolerance chains: a case
study, F. Plinke, A. Braasch, D. Althaus , A. Meyna |
| Coffeebreak 15:30-16:00 |
| Parallel sessions 16:00-17:30 |
| Risk and hazard analysis |
Chair |
Andrija Volkanovski |
| Mission Reconfiguration Based on Real-time System Reliability
Assessment, John Andrews, Wen Hua Chen, Kristina Brazenaite |
| Risk Quantification for the food company in terms of the
effectiveness of the self-control system required by public administration,
E. Doménech, I. Escriche, JA. Amorós, S. Martorell |
| Sensitivity analysis of stress state in the crack-prone
areas of thin-walled girder considering transient effect, Jiri Kala, Miroslav
Skaloud |
| A comparison of RUL-based and deterioration-based maintenance
policies for gradually deteriorating systems, Elias Khoury,Christophe Bérenguer,
Antoine Grall |
| Maintenance modelling and optimisation |
Chair |
Luis Ferreira |
| Optimal inspection strategy for rubble mound breakwaters
with time-dependent reliability analysis., Viet Nguyen Dai, Pieter van Gelder,
J.K.Vrijling |
| Generalization of the Proportional Hazards model for maintenance
optimization, Estelle Deloux, Yann Dijoux, Mitra Fouladirad |
| Rare Event Simulation Speed-Up of Extended Coloured Stochastic
Petri Nets, Andrea Dieter, Steffen Nebel, Bernd Bertsche |
| Condition-based maintenance and non homogenous gamma process,
Mitra Fouladirad, Christian Paroissin, Antoine Grall |
| Occupational safety |
Chair |
Pieter van Gelder |
| Investigations of emergency plan on semiconductor and display
panel plants, Gong-Yih Shiue, Chung–Yun Gau, Tsan–Ming Chang, Jian-Ming
Wei, Chi-Min Shu |
| The ErgoDesign of Workplaces, Laura Tkatsova, Piia Tint |
| Fire prevention management at TFT-LCD of high-tech plants
in Taiwan, Mei-Li You, Huei-Ling Yao, Fang-Chang Tsai, Chi-Min Shu |
| Manual handling operations risk assessment, Armando Burciaga-Ortega,
Jaime Santos-Reyes |
| Nuclear Engineering |
Chair |
Dirk Proske |
Uncertainty Analysis by Dempster Shafer theory in Probabilistic
Risk Assessment, T.D. Le Duy, D. Vasseur, M.Couplet
L. Dieulle, C. Bérenguer |
| Nuclear Power Plant on-site power system reliability, Andrija
Volkanovski, Marko Čepin |
| Conformance test of logic controllers of critical systems
from industrial specifications, Jean-Marc Faure, Francois Chériaux, Laurence
Picci, Julien Provost |
| Technical health of a system - in the context of condition
based maintenance, Pratichi Vaidya, Marvin Rausand |
| Offshore Oil and Gas |
Chair |
Zoe Nivolianitou |
| Major hazard indicators, status and future outlook, Jan-Erik
Vinnem |
| Confidence Limits with Improved Accuracy for Time Dependent
Ignition Probabilities of Blowouts in the Oil & Gas Industry, Pavel Praks,
Sava Medonos |
| Reliability stochastic model applied to evaluate the economic
impact of the failure in the life cycle cost analysis (LCCA). Case of study
in the oil, Carlos Parra Márquez, Adolfo Crespo Márquez, Juan Gómez Fernández,
Vicente González Díaz, Adolfo Arata Andreani,Fredy Kristjanpoller Rodríguez |
| Analysis of the factors involved in incidents reported in
the Greek petrochemical industry, Zoe Nivolianitou, Myrto Konstandinidou,
Chrys Caroni, Irene Kefalogianni |
| CLOSING SESSION |